“This could be a substantial event and I think we’re due,” Trenberth said. “And I think it could have major consequences.”
Those consequences could include lack of rain in Australia, South Africa and parts of South America. Peru, on the other hand, could get too much rain and poorer fishing, according to the AP, which quoted a study by a Texas A&M professor estimating that the El Nino of 1997-98 cost about $3 billion in agricultural damage. It also caused the death of an estimated 16 percent of the planet’s reef systems.
So, should our next winter be a bit more mild, we might feel a little sorry for those who might have it rough. But little boys often have a mind of their own, and El Nino will likely be no exception.