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Local News

October 13, 2012

Polls: Gibson's lead in 19th shrinking

New internal polling released by both the campaigns of Rep. Chris Gibson, R-Kinderhook, and his Democratic challenger, Julian Schreibman of Ulster County, suggests that the race for New York’s 19th Congressional District may be tightening.

On Friday, the Gibson campaign cited new polling data from the incumbent’s consultant, Public Opinion Strategies, showing him with an 11 point lead — 50 percent to 39 percent — over Schreibman with only 25 more days until voters cast their ballots on Nov. 6.

On Sept. 21, an independent poll conducted by Siena College showed Gibson holding a more comfortable 16-point advantage over Schreibman, a former federal prosecutor. Public Opinion Strategies said its new poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent. The organization said it sampled voters whose party registration mirrors the party breakdown throughout the district.

“Despite a few weeks of false and misleading attacks by a desperate opponent and his allies, Chris Gibson’s support continues to be strong,” said Gibson campaign spokeswoman Stephanie Valle.

Earlier in the week, the Schreibman campaign produced its own internal poll, showing the Democrat trailing Gibson by only two points.

On Friday, the Schreibman campaign challenged the credibility of the Gibson-commissioned poll, noting it also showed Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama by one percent point in the newly formed district.

Schreibman campaign manager Jonathan Levy said no other poll has shown Romney ahead in the district. “It seems that Congressman Gibson’s pollsters are as out of step with the district as Congressman Gibson is on his voting record,” Levy said.

Gibson, meanwhile, touted the endorsement of ConservAmerica, an environmental conservation group with ties to some Republican officials.

Schreibman aides sent out press releases claiming Gibson held a campaign event outside the district. But the Gibson camp shot back that the event was held in the Rensselaer County town of Brunswick, which is inside the district, though many residents are assigned Troy postal addresses. Troy is outside the district.

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